How long will it take to ship my iPhone 6 if I buy it 2 weeks from now?

So obviously they are on back order, thats inevitable. My buddy ordered his a week and a half ago and it says it will ship on Oct. 28th. I plan on ordering mine on Oct. 28th, because thats when my upgrade is. So my question is, how long will it take for it to ship at that point? I imagine the shipping time will decrease as time goes on and less people are ordering their iPhone 6, so any guess about how long it'll take when I'm able to use my upgrade on Oct. 28th?

I ordered mine about two weeks ago and it took exactly 7 days. It depends on where you live and how many they have in their factories at that time

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