Can the police find an iPhone using serial number? What are the chances?

Can the police find an iPhone using serial number? What are the chances?

Maybe.

Only if the device is sent-in for factory repair…

The phone can be traced by the IMEI number as soon as it connects to a network.
Would the police bother? I doubt it - they have bigger things going on than tracing your lost/stolen iPhone.
Contact your network to get the phone blocked - you may not get it back but at least it will be useless to whoever tries to use it.

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